How much money will Tintin and War Horse gross?

[indy4 160]

Tintin: 800 million, 250 million of which will come from the US

War Horse: 600 million, 100 million of which will come from the US

[#SnowyVernalSpringsEternal 12,383]

Tintin will do James Cameron type business!

[Josh500 1,620]

Yeah, I think Tintin will be a great success. I would think around $800 mill. worldwide.

War Horse? Hard to say. Maybe around $500 mill, like SPR?

[King Mark 3,975]

I dunno, I think your overestimating both movies greatly

[fommes 165]

One million dollars!

[BloodBoal 8,711]

[King Mark 3,975]

I wonder if Tintin will gross 100 million in US Box Offiice

I predict about 150 million US Box Office for War Horse

[Josh500 1,620]

I dunno, I think your overestimating both movies greatly

If Avatar managed to make over 2 billion, 800 million for a Spielberg movie based on a world famous, beloved character is not an overestimation, I think...

Still, yeah, I might be overestimating WH.

[Romão 2,473]

For Tintin I see something like 500/600 million worldwide.

As for War Horse, something in the 300 million worldwide region, but it depends greatly on general responde and awards nominations

[Jeff 10]

I wonder if Tintin will gross 100 million in US Box Offiice

I predict about 150 million US Box Office for War Horse

I think KM may be right with these figures. Tintin has the potential for huge overseas success, but in the U.S., I haven't heard much hype around the film. There are some people who know Tintin but it will take some serious word-of-mouth to get it over the $200 million mark. That said, it still may make $600-800 million overseas.

War Horse looks really good - the trailers make me want to see it. But it is a serious, dramatic film about a horse. That has not always been the recipe for success.

In short, both of these movies will perform largely based on how good the films actually are - neither can rest solely on the appeal of the subject matter (or Spielberg's name) to guarantee an audience.

[Josh500 1,620]

Actually I am starting to think Tintin will become a MAJOR hit.

Everywhere you go (at least in Europe), everybody knows Tintin. And everybody (that I know at least) says they are gonna see it.

[Jay 46,241]

Tintin: 250mil US, over 1 billion worldwide

War Horse: 90mil US, 250 mil worldwide

[Josh500 1,620]

Over 1 billion would be great.

Wouldn't that be the first Spielberg movie to gross over 1 bill?

[#SnowyVernalSpringsEternal 12,383]

No Transformers 3 grossed that magic number.

[Josh500 1,620]

I meant movies directed by Spielberg...

Although adjusted for inflation, there are 2 Spielberg movies that grossed over 1 bill: Jaws and E.T.

http://boxofficemojo.com/alltime/adjusted.htm

[Romão 2,473]

That's just domestic grosses, overseas grosses are much harder to adjust to inflation. Even so, I'd wager Jaws, Raiders, ET and Jurassic Park all grossed over 1 billion dollars in adjusted wordwide grosses

[BloodBoal 8,711]

[Jilal 681]

Yihaa!

[Naïve Old Fart 13,020]

"Tintin"? Probably $150 million, domestic, about $200 million rest-of-world.

"Warhorse"? $45 million, domsetic, and $30 million rest-of-world.

[Romão 2,473]

Tintin will gross much more than 200 million in the rest of the world, that pretty much is dead on certain. Can't see it doing less than 350 overseas, honestly, and that's the bare minimum

[Naïve Old Fart 13,020]

Honestly, I don't give a monkey's. I'll see "Tintin" as a matter of course, but I'm not enthused by it. I am looking forward to "Warhorse", but I don't think it will resonate at the box office. I'm assessing its performance by comparing it with other "failures" including "EOTS" , "Amistad", "1941", "Munich", and "Always", all of which took approximately $40 million domestically. "Warhorse" will, I think, build up a small, but loyal following, and will probably be nominated for a clutch of Oscars. Other than that; it won't set the world on fire. I will say that "Warhorse" has the potential to be Spielberg's best film since "Amistad".

[Brónach 1,330]

I think Tintin has potential to be Spielberg's best since A.I./Catch Me If You Can. And I think it will succeed at the box office, even in the US.

About War Horse, I think it'll be a bit of a surprise, financially speaking. Film wise, I don't know what to expect, other than awesome despictions of a horse through battles.

[#SnowyVernalSpringsEternal 12,383]

, I don't know what to expect, other than awesome despictions of a horse through battles.

Looking forward to War Horse: The Game, were you get points if you shoot the horse,

[crocodile 9,724]

Medal of Honor vs. Joey The War Horse?

Karol

[JoeinAR 1,957]

Tintin: 800 million, 250 million of which will come from the US

War Horse: 600 million, 100 million of which will come from the US

you should not try your hand at box office prognostication.

I meant movies directed by Spielberg...

Although adjusted for inflation, there are 2 Spielberg movies that grossed over 1 bill: Jaws and E.T.

http://boxofficemojo...me/adjusted.htm

that's formulaic and not real dollars. neither movies grossed over 1 billion.

[#SnowyVernalSpringsEternal 12,383]

Is, when adjusting for inflation, Gone With The Wind still the most successful movie ever.

[BLUMENKOHL 1,110]

Tintin: 800 million, 250 million of which will come from the US

War Horse: 600 million, 100 million of which will come from the US

you should not try your hand at box office prognostication.

I meant movies directed by Spielberg...

Although adjusted for inflation, there are 2 Spielberg movies that grossed over 1 bill: Jaws and E.T.

http://boxofficemojo...me/adjusted.htm

that's formulaic and not real dollars. neither movies grossed over 1 billion.

That's how much money they've made, in todays dollars.

IF they were actually released today, there's no way they'd even get close to that number.

[King Mark 3,975]

with the reviews coming in I think it will be much higher than I originally predicted

[Josh500 1,620]

Tintin actually has a shot at making 1 billion USD worldwide, IMO.

You have to take into aacount that Tintin is a much shorter film than, say, Avatar. It gets played much more often in the theater.

[Romão 2,473]

I'm still thinking it will do around 600 million. 170 in the US and around 430 in the rest of the world

[Josh500 1,620]

600 mill. -- that's approx. what WotW made 6 years ago...

I think Tintin will be more successful.

[Romão 2,473]

I hope so, but Asia is the real unknown, isn't it? We all know it will be huge in Europe. It could easily make 200 million in the US if it's well received, being a family film, with a 3d boost and directed by Spielberg. But I have absolutely no idea how popular Tintin is in Asia

[Josh500 1,620]

Japan is by far the biggest market in Asia, and in Japan I am sure it will make lots of money. It's more to do with the fact that it's a Spielberg movie...

Dunno how wide a release it will get in the PROC, though.

[Sandor 918]

Was Star Wars *popular* before it came out? Was E.T. ..? Were people familiair with Jurassic Park? Jack and Rose? Jake Sully?

Seems like some of the biggest hits in movie history were not dependent on how popular the source material was before the movies opened.

If Tintin - the film - catches fire with audiences who knows how big the gross will be.

[Romão 2,473]

In this day and age, very few "original movies" (being based on an unknown property, as it is the case in the US) are as sucessful as they were in the 80's. Back then, it was the directors who pitched studios their ideas and concepts for tentpole pictures. Nowadays, studios want a certain type of movie and chose the director and crew accordingly.

Last movie I recall that was really popular in the box office without being based on a really well known property was Inception

[Josh500 1,620]

What about the most successful movie, ever, AVATAR?

[Romão 2,473]

I can't believe I forgot that one

Nevertheless, very few directors can get those kind of "pet projects" done with huge budgets. Cameron, Spielberg, Jackson and Nolan. Hollywood used to be much more experimental in its tentpole choices

[BloodBoal 8,711]

[Sandor 918]

What about the most successful movie, ever, AVATAR?

It was based on The Smurfs.

And Ferngully something.

[Josh500 1,620]

AVATAR (you may like the movie or not but) achieved a stunning feat. It made almost 3 billion in the theaters, and it is not based on anything successful that we had before: no novel, no comic book, no play, no TV series, etc. I admire James Cameron for that. And, of course, the movie was pretty great too.

(Yes, the story was not COMPLETELY original, but never mind that. You don't watch AVATAR for the plot twists.)

[Romão 2,473]

It will be remembered for its technical achievements, nothing else

[Josh500 1,620]

It will be remembered for its technical achievements, nothing else

Just like JP, just like Star Wars? No.

It will be remembered for great entertainment--a great movie experience.

[BloodBoal 8,711]

[Romão 2,473]

Jurassic Park and Star Wars are far better movies than Avatar. Far better. Far better music as well.

And it still irks me that with all that amazing world-making technology, the best Cameron can come up with is a earthly rain forest that glows in the dark. Everything in Avatar is just so derivative. He wrote a story where he could hang special effects. But we're getting off topic here

[Sandor 918]

Jurassic Park and Star Wars are far better movies than Avatar. Far better. Far better music as well.

And it still irks me that with all that amazing world-making technology, the best Cameron can come up with is a earthly rain forest that glows in the dark. Everything in Avatar is just so derivative. He wrote a story where he could hang special effects. But we're getting off topic here

I would say Avatar and Jurassic Park are just about on the same level actually (although JP's score is vastly superior).

Star Wars is way above both of them.

[Brónach 1,330]

Jurassic Park and Star Wars are far better movies than Avatar. Far better. Far better music as well.

And it still irks me that with all that amazing world-making technology, the best Cameron can come up with is a earthly rain forest that glows in the dark. Everything in Avatar is just so derivative. He wrote a story where he could hang special effects. But we're getting off topic here

Chaac approves every word of this post.

[BLUMENKOHL 1,110]

I predict

Domestic: 130-175M

International: 350-400M

Total: 480-575M

[indy4 160]

Well, Tintin is almost finished at 77 million domestically and 296 million internationally.

War Horse is finished domestically at 79 and 88 internationally, but I think there's still some more international funds coming in.

[Josh500 1,620]

So is War Horse considered a flop now?

It made money sure, but probably much less than Spielberg and co were expecting!

[#SnowyVernalSpringsEternal 12,383]

Spielberg's career is over.